Wednesday, September 27, 2006

War Mongers' Narratives destroyed by Intelligence

BBC News has printed excerpts from the American Spy Agencies' National Intelligence Estimate on Trends in Global Terrorism released on Tuesday 26 September 2006. Below is an extract from the report:

We assess that the operational threat from self-radicalized cells will grow in importance to US counterterrorism efforts, particularly abroad but also in the Homeland. The jihadists regard Europe as an important venue for attacking Western interests. Extremist networks inside the extensive Muslim diasporas in Europe facilitate recruitment and staging for urban attacks, as illustrated by the 2004 Madrid and 2005 London bombings.

We assess that the Iraq jihad is shaping a new generation of terrorist leaders and operatives; perceived jihadist success there would inspire more fighters to continue the struggle elsewhere.
The Iraq conflict has become the "cause celebre" for jihadists, breeding a deep resentment of US involvement in the Muslim world and cultivating supporters for the global jihadist movement. Should jihadists leaving Iraq perceive themselves, and be perceived, to have failed, we judge fewer fighters will be inspired to carry on the fight. We assess that the underlying factors fuelling the spread of the movement outweigh its vulnerabilities and are likely to do so for the duration of the timeframe of this estimate.
Four underlying factors are fuelling the spread of the jihadist movement: (1) Entrenched grievances, such as corruption, injustice, and fear of Western domination, leading to anger, humiliation, and a sense of powerlessness; (2) the Iraq .jihad;. (3) the slow pace of real and sustained economic, social, and political reforms in many Muslim majority nations; and (4) pervasive anti-US sentiment among most Muslims, all of which jihadists exploit

All Danes should read this carefully. It is further evidence of the dangers inherent in the shift to the right of Danish foreign policy under the Conservative liberalist Fogh Rasmussen government. The Danish prime minister Fogh Rasmussen has denied the conclusions of the report, which is rather silly. It has led to questions from the People's socialist party (SF) and the Unity List in the Danish parliament. We're still waiting for the PM's answer. Anders Fogh Rasmussen must have some confidential knowledge that the intelligence agencies do not have.

This is not surprising, as it corresponds to the situation i 2003, before the outbreak of the Iraq war, when both the American president and the Danish PM disregarded intelligence reports on the true nature of Iraq's arsenal of Weapons of Mass Destruction. Political "necessity" takes priority to following the truth.

Time and again we've been hearing in Danish media about the threat the terrorists pose. This has been used by Anders Fogh Rasmussen as a justification for the Danish military involvement in both Iraq and Afghanistan. The foreign minister Per Stig Moller and the minister of Defence Soren Gade are in that respect simple replicas of their master. "We have to do this," Per S. Moller has said repeatedly. "Otherwise we'll regret it some day, when the terrorists come to haunt us." Therefore the terrorists have to be defeated militarily.

Now this turns out to be a perverse logic. The terrorists come about in the first place due to the war, - and due to the many humiliations Middle East populations have suffered because of colonialism and imperialism.


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